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Is BMI Accurate? What Body Mass Index Can and Can’t Reveal

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Is BMI Accurate? What Body Mass Index Can and Can’t Reveal

BMI has long been a staple in health assessments. However, it is far from perfect, and as the years have passed, more and more science has emerged that reveals the flaws of this approach.

BMI Is an Inaccurate Way to Predict Disease Risk

BMI is inconsistent when it comes to accurately predicting the impact of body fat on disease risks or coexisting conditions.

For example, a study of postmenopausal women that calculated body fat percentage and risk by using age and sex in addition to height and weight was superior to BMI in accurately estimating the breast cancer risk linked to obesity.

BMI also doesn’t identify where fat is distributed in the body. Visceral fat, meaning fat deposits located around the abdomen and distributed throughout the organs, is more highly associated with diseases such as type 2 diabetes and heart disease, compared with other kinds of fat.

Visceral fat can be estimated with a simple tape measure and is used in assessments such as the body roundness index and waist-to-hip ratio.

BMI Can Misclassify Muscular People as Having Obesity

Although a high BMI is associated with having a high amount of body fat, BMI doesn’t directly measure body fat percentage.

“BMI is essentially a surrogate for adiposity or percent body fat, which is the actual risk factor,” says William Yancy Jr., MD, internal medicine doctor and obesity medicine specialist at Duke Health in Durham, North Carolina.

“Because BMI can’t differentiate between fat and muscle, it can misclassify very muscular people as overweight or obese,” Dr. Yancy says.

Two examples: The clearly fit and muscular USA rugby star Ilona Maher revealed she had a BMI of 29.3 in a TikTok video that has more than 1.2 million views.

When Arnold Schwarzenegger was crowned the Mr. Universe of the bodybuilding world, he also had a BMI of around 30, which would be in the “obesity” category, says Dr. Mehal.

“Clearly, his weight was due to muscle — he had very little body fat. But that’s the rare exception in today’s world. For most people who have a high BMI, it’s because they carry too much adipose tissue,” he says.

BMI can also underestimate risk in people with very low musculature, such as people with sarcopenia (a type of muscle loss that happens with aging or immobility), says Yancy.

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