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California population outflow surges 135% in two years, census – Daily News

“The study explores a variety of rankings and scorecards that determine geographic location, but points out that these performances are most often seen as a combination of skillful interpretation and data.”

Buzz: The gap between Californians and new immigrants nationwide has more than doubled between 2019 and 2021.

sauce: Reviewed by my trusty spreadsheet Census Bureau’s 2021 Interstate Immigration Report, compared to 2019 data. The agency omitted the 2020 report because pandemic restrictions prevented a more accurate tally.

Note that the Census tracks residents over the age of 1 and whether they moved to another state, moved within the same state, or remained.

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Let’s take a look at California’s migration mismatch, noting that national interstate migration has increased by 6% over the last two years.

  • Increased outflow: California will lose 841,065 residents to other states in 2021, a 29% increase from 653,551 in 2019.
  • Decline in arrivals: The state will draw 433,402 people from all over the country in 2021, down 10% from 480,204 in 2019.
  • Combined, the state’s “net emigration” (a demographer’s term for more immigrants than immigrants) increased 135% over the past two years to 173,347 in 2019. By 2021, the number will be 407,663.


California will lose more residents in 2021 than any other state. The next highest outflows were New York with 571,041, Florida with 469,577, Texas with 447,363 and Illinois with 341,425.

Considering California’s outflow as a percentage of its population of 38.8 million, the outflow looks relatively modest. Departures accounted for 2.2% of all residents, with the 14th-best exit rate, tied with Florida, and below the 2.4% of U.S. residents who switched states in 2021.

Related: IRS data shows American immigration to California down 11% in five years

According to this indicator, Maine experienced the smallest decline in its share of residents, at 1.4%. Texas followed with 1.5% and Michigan with 1.6%.

Washington DC had the highest dropout rate at 9.5%, followed by Wyoming at 6.1% and Alaska at 5.8%.


California ranked third in 2021 new entrants. The top states were Florida with 674,740 and Texas with 591,395.

But new arrivals in California make up only a small fraction of the population, 1.1% of all residents. This represents the worst attraction rate in the state and less than half the national standard.

Related: Where do people go when they leave California and why?

After California, the worst was Michigan at 1.4% and New York at 1.5%. Texas was the eighth lowest at 2%.

Most popular locations for new entrants: Washington DC representing 8.7% of the population, Idaho 5.1%, Hawaii 5%. Florida ranked 23rd with 3.1%.


Finally, when comparing inflows and outflows, California has become the nation’s largest net immigrant. New York was second with 283,792, followed by Illinois with 146,248.

Florida had the highest net inflows with 205,163, followed by Texas with 144,032 and North Carolina with 99,406.


According to the spreadsheet, California’s total population (1 year old and older) has dropped by 250,000 over the past two years.

why? Well, there are common complaints, ranging from costs to traffic jams to civil issues. And California’s stringent pandemic restrictions, which lasted through much of 2020 and into 2021, likely drove people out and kept potential relocations at bay.

real estate newsletter: Sign up for ‘Home Stretch’ to track housing trends in Southern California

In addition, foreign immigrants should not be overlooked. That is, less.

Arrivals to California from other lands have dropped 29% over the past two years to 188,700. Note that travel restrictions due to the pandemic have resulted in a 23% drop in foreign newcomers nationwide from 2019 to 2021.

Jonathan Lanzner is a business columnist for the Southern California News Group. You can contact him by: jlansner@scng.com

https://www.dailynews.com/2023/06/09/california-outmigration-jumps-135-in-2-years-census-says/ California population outflow surges 135% in two years, census – Daily News

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