San Francisco’s “more dogs than children” stereotype has gained relevance just a few years as census figures confirm a still declining family population and only Bayview, Presidio, and Sea Cliff have more than 20% of their populations under the age of 18.
SFist and the broader national media have never shied away from discussing how San Francisco is the lowest proportion of families with children under 18 in every major US city, which means we are America’s Childless City. The chronicle I researched this again with the first numbers from the 2020 census last August, we realized we were still at a national low of 13% of the population under 18 in 2020, compared to 13.4% in 2010 and a peak of 16% in the 1990s.
The Chronicle has updated these numbers with the latest census revisions. We’re still at just 13%, but their new analysis breaks down the population density of children by city district with some surprising results (as seen below, darker blue means more children, lighter blue means fewer).
It’s a popular belief in San Francisco that the Tenderloin has the highest percentage of children per capita of any other neighborhood. But it’s actually way down the list. #1 is… Seacliff?! Interesting data crunch by @susieneilson. https://t.co/0zG52ZPvwY
— Heather Knight (@hknightsf) May 24, 2022
As mentioned above, the Tenderloin doesn’t have the highest concentration of kids in town, eh was often believed. (The Castro actually has a higher percentage of children under the age of 18!) By sheer numbers or percentages, the Tenderloin doesn’t rank in the top ten for the population of children.
The highest percentage of children is found in Sea Cliff, but that’s a tiny population anomaly (just over 500 children and young people in all). Bayview (21.1% under 18) has nearly 10,000 children and ranks second. The Presidio is the third example, but again a very small one, and Visitacion Valley is a real kid’s neighborhood with about 19.5% under 18s, followed by Glean Park with 18.2%.
The lowest percentage of children is found in Lincoln Park (again, a negligible population), but only mid-single-digit percentages of children are found in other relatively childless neighborhoods such as McLaren Park (4% under 18), Nob Hill (5.2%), and Japantown ( 6.6%).
We can argue whether it’s housing affordability, the percentage of the LGBTQ population, or the prohibitive cost of having children these days (it’s probably all three). But the downward trend in the SF child population will certainly continue. According to the Chronicle, “The youth population of these neighborhoods is likely to decline even further over the next decade.”
Image: @usa4 via twitter
SF Still the Most Childless City in U.S., New Map Breaks Down Childlessness by Neighborhood Source link SF Still the Most Childless City in U.S., New Map Breaks Down Childlessness by Neighborhood