California

Experts say California drought could make housing crisis worse

San Diego (KGTV)-As California enters another period of drought, experts say dry spells can further exacerbate the already difficult housing market.

“This is what we see in the future and is part of our climate,” says Dr. Julie Karansky, a climate scientist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography. “It’s part of the Mediterranean climate. It’s part of California. So we’ll continue to have these droughts.”

The drought caused water problems by 2015. During that dry spell, the gob of the time. Jerry Brown has reduced water usage by 25%. People turned off sprinklers, replaced the lawn with artificial turf, and started using more efficient low-flow shower heads, toilets, and faucets.

This month, Governor Gavin Newsom called on Californians to reduce their water use by 15%, but he didn’t make it mandatory.

Tighter restrictions can cause problems in the housing market.

Drought Tom Collingham, a research economist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, said drought-induced housing may not be found in coastal areas. But he says groundwater-dependent rural and inland communities will be a different story.

“In some parts of the state, drought conditions make it increasingly difficult to get access to water in certain communities,” he says.

When it comes to housing construction in San Diego, the decline in new drought-related housing development will lead to years of improvement.

Data from the Southern California Real Estate Research Council show that new home construction has increased significantly since the recession (see chart above).

Due to restrictions placed during the last drought, nearly 10,000 homes were built in San Diego County in both 2015 and 2016.

By 2020, that number was just below 9,500.

These numbers are high, but experts say they are just a drop in a bucket compared to what the region needs to keep up with demand. Some housing experts say that San Diego needs to build about 20,000 homes each year.

You need more water to build more homes.

“This is a serious problem,” says Dr. Nome Miller, a US dollar real estate professor. “But that’s solvable.”

Miller believes that San Diego already has enough water to build many new homes. But he believes that state and federal governments need to prioritize housing over other water users such as agriculture.

Miller believes that water should be redistributed from agriculture, especially from growing water-intensive produce such as rice and almond trees.

“We don’t really agree with the fact that we are short of water,” says Dr. Miller. “We have political problems.”

Miller also states that California can diversify its water sources to increase drought tolerance.

San Diego is at the forefront of doing that. There are already desalination plants in Carlsbad and Chula Vista in the area, drawing water from the sea.

Some cities in San Diego County have also started “pure water” programs, where used water is recycled into “gray” water for drinking.

“I think San Diego has been thoughtful and proactive in what we have,” says Dr. Karansky. “Not just natural resources, but other new technologies that can be used to make ourselves more resilient.”

Dr. Corringham adds that even low-landscaping or drought-resistant gardens that use the area’s natural ecosystems as a guide can build new homes.

“For example, if you go to Arizona and look at the front yard there, it’s all desert plants,” he says. “In places like Southern California, it’s basically a coastal desert ecosystem.”

Doing all this can make San Diego’s housing market resistant to drought.

However, drought can still have an impact. A dry climate makes wildfires more dangerous. This means that homes built on the border between the wilderness and the city are at risk. Building in fire-prone areas can be restricted, and homes built in those areas of the county are expensive to insure.

Dr. Karansky and Dr. Collingham also state that long-term droughts are just one aspect of climate change that can affect the housing market.

When the temperature rises, it can become too hot to build inland or in desert areas. And as sea levels rise, coastal homes are at risk.



Experts say California drought could make housing crisis worse Source link Experts say California drought could make housing crisis worse

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