COVID cases and hospitalizations across the Bay Area are increasing at a pace not seen since the start of the largest surge in November.
Dr. Bob Wachter, Dean of the University of California, San Francisco School of Medicine, said:
“This virus is twice as good at its job.”
Wachter says he is confident that if San Francisco is vaccinated after reaching 70-75% of its population, it will be in “good condition”, a model for the whole country.
“If we were dealing with an old virus, that would have been true,” he said. “But we are not.”
Over the past three weeks, new COVID infections in the Bay Area have increased by an average of five-fold and hospitalizations have more than doubled.
Stephanie: “Do you think it’s possible?”
Wachter: “It depends on our actions, but we are discovering this early enough and the proportion of vaccinated people is high enough that there is a surge that could overwhelm the hospital. I think it’s very unlikely to be seen .. But it’s not zero. “
Wachter is cautiously optimistic, but it does not rule out another blockade. He says the UCSF Medical Center has changed from zero COVID inpatients six weeks ago to 25 as of Tuesday morning.
“If we go back to the worst of the pandemic, when there are 100 to 150 people in the hospital, I think we have to do more than we do now,” he said.
Will Maskman Date come back?
Stephanie: “Do you think the entire bay area will return to requiring masks indoors?”
Wachter: “Oh, I think it’s 100 percent likely … I think the health authorities on their fingers have to be pretty close to triggering this.”
Dr. Wakta says it would be surprising if the Bay Area had no obligation to mask Within a week.
According to ABC7 data analysis, the 7-day moving average of new daily COVID cases in the Bay Area surged from 231 on July 1st to 1,335 on July 23rd. The average soared more than five times in just three weeks.
“Looking at what we’ve seen so far, the surge tends to last for months,” Wachter said. “The delta seems to last a little shorter than the other surges.”
According to Wachter, even if a significant portion of the population is vaccinated today, the situation will still be tough a month or two away.
“Delta is not the end of it, so everyone needs to be vaccinated,” Wachter said. “A new variant will come out.”
When do I need to get a booster shot?
Wachter says certain groups need to start taking booster shots within the next few months. He hopes it will be phased out in groups like the first vaccination deployment.
Who is in Group 1? Wachter, once the booster is approved, will be used by immunocompromised patients, people over the age of 70, those who received their first injection in December or January, and even those who have been vaccinated with Johnson & Johnson. Protected because the level of single dose is slightly lower.
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