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Best Retail Stock for $800B Holiday Spree

It’s Black Friday.

I’m in Peru, and the Christmas tree is already around the town.

And the best part about leaving the United States right now is the lack of pressure to join the madness of today’s Black Friday.

that is doozy … US shoppers are expected to spend $ 800 billion shopping this holiday season.

Today’s Investing with Charles, Research analyst Matt Clark and I discuss the two retailers who are most likely to benefit from this spending. Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT). When Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN).

The highlights of the conversation with Matt are:

Black Friday’s decline popularity

mat: On Black Friday, the eve, and Thanksgiving, Wal-Mart’s past procession was extensive. It gets worse when you move to a big city with other large retailers. The line was just huge.

Well, that’s not the case.

Charles: I think we’ve evolved as a seed to stop Black Friday, but that’s not true. Black Friday starts just a month early.

mat: exactly. The store will close the transaction on November 1st.

Charles: But that’s an interesting point. This sense of urgency was the reason for holding Black Friday before. This is the day you need to be here because this day is happening. It’s an event.

If you start Black Friday a month early, that’s not the case. You don’t have that sense of urgency to leave. I’ve always thought it would be better to keep it in this fixed part of the calendar, but the marketing wizard needs to know what I don’t know.

mat: I think there are still some lines, but I don’t think it will be as crazy as ever. You no longer have to wake up at 2am and line up.

Charles: I have never done that. I’ve done some regrets in my life, but getting up at 2am and waiting in line for Black Friday isn’t something I’ve ever done.

Walmart: 2020 vs. today

mat: Let’s take a look at Wal-Mart first.

Wal-Mart’s 12-month performance so far is not what we expected. Equity performance has actually fallen by about 4% since this time last year. It is about 2% below the 50-day simple moving average.

Comparing it to the general commodity retail industry, the industry average has increased by 16%. Therefore, the performance of WMT is about 20% different from that of other companies in the same industry.

WMT shares: 12-month overview

It’s not in favor of Wal-Mart. Is it shocking?

Charles: No, it’s not shocking at all.

Think about last year. Half of the United States was closed or shortened due to large stretches. People didn’t go even if it wasn’t officially closed.

But Wal-Mart sold basic essentials, so 2020 was a great year for Wal-Mart. It made hay while the sun was shining there.

So what happened? The stock is ahead of itself.

WMT was very strong last year, so it’s getting cooler this year. I don’t think this year’s stock price performance is a sign of poor performance on the Wal-Mart side.

Walmart is doing what it does. One of the best retailers in retail history. Undoubtedly, Wal-Mart was the undisputed king of retail until Amazon came along. It manages the business incredibly well. It doesn’t matter what Wal-Mart puts it together. It’s a matter of Wal-Mart’s follow-up to the wonderful 2020.

mat: Looking at the evaluation of the green zone, now Walmart rates 55, Neutral.

Its size reduces it because it has a huge market capitalization of almost $ 400 billion.

It is rated green in terms of both value and quality, as well as volatility. This means that stock prices have not fallen significantly.that Have I moved down. However, it has been flat for the past 12 months, down only about 4%. This is less important at a price of about $ 140 to $ 145 per WMT share.

Wal-Mart’s Green Zone Rating on November 22, 2021.

Charles: With 85 volatility ratings, This is not the strain that is going to make you sick in your stomach. You won’t be nervous or chain smoked to see this stock move. It is a stock with low volatility.

NS 61 valuations Not all stretches are cheap to get dirty. But if you dig into these numbers, WMT isn’t a one-time sale. It is traded at retail valuation. That rating here is what I consider fair to large retailers.

mat: Now, another thing I did here was to look at Wal-Mart and compare it to the S & P BMI Retail Index. This is the broader index used by S & P 500 companies and shows its price volatility.

Looking at the exact year from January 1, 2021 to today, the BMI retail index has risen almost 26%. Wal-Mart decreased 1.2% in comparison of its values.

Again, I think this is where Wal-Mart celebrated its extraordinary 2020.

Charles: And I didn’t do that companion. Remember that many of these retailers really struggled last year. Some of its outperformance is that those competitors are catching up.

mat: right. I’ve seen Wal-Mart come back a bit to reality, but its peers are now experiencing its growth.

Here we are talking about two different types of performance.

Wal-Mart has been recovering since the massive 2020. Its peers are rising after the 2020 downturn. Comparing the two, it cannot be said that Wal-Mart is in a garbage dump.


Be sure to return to Part 2 on Saturday. Here, Matt and I will tell you which stocks you would like to disassemble Amazon and buy now.

Where to find us

The mat that will appear this week is Bull & Bear It’s a podcast, so stay tuned.

Subscribe to YouTube

Don’t forget to check us Ask Adam anything A video series where Chief Investment Strategist Adam O’Dell answers your questions.

You can also catch the mat every week The latest information on the marijuana market.. If you’re interested in cannabis investment, you don’t want to miss Matt’s weekly insights.

Remember, you can email me with my team Feedback @ moneyandmarkets.com — Or leave a comment on YouTube. We love to hear from you!May feature your questions and comments in future editions of Investing with Charles..

For safe benefit

Charles Sizemore_Sig

Charles Size More

Co-editor, Green Zone Fortune

Charles Size More Is a co-editor of Green Zone Fortune Specializes in income and retirement topics. He is also a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg and Fox Business.

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