California Governor Gavin Newsom successfully evaded a Republican recall attempt on Tuesday, turning the contest’s stakes from a referendum on his own performance to a partisan battle over trumpism and coronavirus.
Here are five points from Newsom’s victory:
COVID precautions can help Democrats
The Republicans intended the recall to be a referendum on Democratic California rule and the associated homelessness, crime, high housing costs, and energy issues. But with a little political jiu-jitsu, and with the help of the spreading Delta variant, Newsom turned it into a referendum on Republican opposition to preventative measures against the coronavirus.
Republicans trying to replace Newsom opposed the obligation to mask and vaccine, and the Governor of California gladly emphasized it. Newsom called the recall a “life and death issue,” and aired an ad accusing Republican top candidate Larry Elder, a talk radio host, of “fabricating a deadly conspiracy theory.”
Ironically, the recall momentum after Newsom was unmasked and caught at a large party that violated his own social distance orders at a lobbyist’s birthday party at a fashionable Napa Valley restaurant in November. Increased. But his strategist has argued for weeks that his leadership during the pandemic is a plus for him and he should not be afraid that other Democrats will lead the matter.
In his post-victory remarks, Newsom continued to focus on the virus. The governor wants to focus on what he said to reporters, “Yes, as a nation.” He said “yes” to science, “yes” to vaccines, and “yes” to end this pandemic. “
Republicans Revive Unfounded Fraud Claims
The groundless claims of Republican fraud will not go away quickly.
Republicans claimed the election was “illegal,” even while ballots were still being cast. It was an unfounded claim — and a strange claim given that Republicans worked relatively well under the same California electoral system in November and won four parliamentary seats.
However, the rhetoric of former President Donald Trump’s false election fraud soon infiltrated Republican politics. The former president enthusiastically added his own voice to the claim. And a few days before the polls ended, the Elders campaign began to strangely circulate links to petitions requesting an investigation into his losses. ..
Recalls have always been a long shot in states where registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans by nearly two-to-one and the GOP hasn’t won state-wide elections since 2006. The fact that polls have shown months to come shows that the party is stuck with those allegations. It led to an attack on the US Capitol on January 6, after Trump’s defeat. Some Californians are now worried about what could happen in their state.
Mindy Romero, director of the University of Southern California’s Inclusive Democracy Center, said: “I can’t see the positive then.”
California Republican Offramp
The recall provided California Republicans with the only plausible shot at a state-wide office in one of the bluest states in the United States. Recall is a way to fend off the state’s usual partisan pull. This is a referendum up and down against incumbents, and usually there are no opponents to use as foil. When voters remind them of their party’s loyalty, it doesn’t happen during biennial federal elections. And the new governor is chosen from a long list of candidates, as well as two favorites of the two largest political parties.
It makes recalls a way for someone who is always in the minority, the Republican Party, to still win. It happened in 2003 when Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger won a recall against Democratic Governor Gray Davis. Schwarzenegger’s moderate politics would not have won the Republican primary, but it was appealing enough to voters who were fed up with incumbents. Some Republicans hoped that former moderate San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer would be on the ballot this year as well.
However, the Republican Party had two problems. First, California is much different than it was in 2003 and is more liberal and diverse. Currently, the state has 3.2 million more Democrats registered than at the time of the last recall, but nearly 400,000 fewer Republicans.
Second, Fall Connor never caught up. Instead, the elder’s exaggerated style was sharpened on talk radio during his decades, echoing Trump and jumping him to the top of the Republican Party. Newsom sensed the favorable contrast and began beating the elders with radio waves.
Some Republicans wanted the populist approach of African-American elders to appeal to diverse voters in California. But that didn’t seem to work.
“Larry Elder was exactly what Gavin Newsom needed,” said Rob Stutzman, a veteran strategist at the Republican Party of California.
NEWSOM is back from Blink
There is no doubt that Newsom won the call election. But he may not have appeared unharmed.
When elected in 2018, Newsom was riding a wave of anti-Trump, being considered the center of “resistance” to Washington’s Republican forces. The former photogenic Mayor of San Francisco was considered as a future presidential candidate.
Three years later, his state is recovering from a cruel drought and associated wildfires. Heat waves cause rolling blackouts. Homeless people continue to plague the state’s big cities as housing costs don’t seem to give up.
The recall showed that Republicans are unlikely to beat Newsom in the Partisan race. But California has a big bench of Democrats who may want to move up. “I think there are Democrats watching this with bibs, forks and knives off,” Stutzman said.
Newsom’s political activities could prevent a major Democrat from being carried out as an alternative to the recall and freed him to portray his efforts as a fraudulent Republican party. Will he be able to keep out the challenger in 2022?
Mid-term confusing signs
The recall was President Joe Biden’s first important election and served as a sort of political stress test for both parties ahead of the middle of next year.
The Democratic Party has shown that voters can be found even if the party hosts the White House. This has traditionally been a tough feat, so parties in power usually lose parliamentary seats in the midterm elections. Republicans are trying to regain the House of Representatives and the Senate.
Refusal to recall, and elders, show that candidates who are too consistent with Trump remain toxic in some areas, especially in democratic areas.
Finally, the recall was a referendum on Newsom and how Californians wanted state rule, especially with regard to the coronavirus. It is a problem that the governor has a great influence on. The interim period will be Biden’s referendum. The power that Republicans can win, that is, the control of parliament, is not the executive branch where coronavirus regulation has ever been done.
It’s not clear if the Democrats can do the same parliamentary defenses they did in the largest states.
Associated Press writer Kathleen Ronayne contributed to this report.
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