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2022 hurricane season predictions: Above-normal activity predicted for Atlantic basin, Colorado State University says

Expect a hurricane season in the Atlantic above average this year, Colorado State University meteorologist Philip Klotzbach said on Thursday.

Klotzbach and the university have published their annual outlook, which requires 19 eponymous storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes.

Reasons for the above-average forecast include the El Niιοo shortage and warmer-than-normal temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic.

El Nino, Klotzbach explained in a tweet, generally increases the vertical shear of the wind in the Atlantic, dissolving the hurricanes.

The chance of at least one major hurricane reaching land across the continental United States is 71%. The average for the last century was 52%.

It is worth noting for people here in Texas, the probability of a major storm along the Gulf Coast from Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville is 46%.

Large hurricanes are storms belonging to category 3, 4 or 5 and these wind speeds will be over 111 mph.

Although the era of hurricanes has not yet arrived, the publication of the forecast is a reminder that you need to be prepared, as you only need one hurricane to land to affect lives.

We urge you to be equally prepared for each season, regardless of the planned activity. A hurricane season in the Atlantic was forecast below average in 2017, the year Hurricane Harvey hit the Texas coast.

The most active season recorded was in 2020, when there were 30 hurricanes, 14 hurricanes and 7 major hurricanes.

The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and ends on November 30. But in recent years, nominal storms have become common in May and even April.



2022 hurricane season predictions: Above-normal activity predicted for Atlantic basin, Colorado State University says Source link 2022 hurricane season predictions: Above-normal activity predicted for Atlantic basin, Colorado State University says

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